Tag Archives: Economics

Now Is NOT the Time

In response to the question:

What’s the most disturbing truth about raising children?

Heavens. Where to start?

I’ll limit my answer to 3 unavoidable facts:

  1. The children you have right now (2015), and any yet to be born, are going to have to deal with the collapse of the biosphere. That’s not hyperbole: that’s the consensus of roughly 14,000 climate scientists, worldwide.                 BioShock                                                                                                                   They will grow up and try to thrive in a world where the norm will be mass migrations, food and water shortages, spread of deadly disease (malaria and West Nile virus, to name but two), and endless, endless wildfires, way too many to keep under control.                                                                                                                                They will live with storms that have the power to level cities. And it will be  hotter, much hotter.

  2. They will also have to deal with a world where there will be many, many applicants for fewer and fewer jobs.                                                                                                                                                             We only need so many people to grow our food, build and repair our highways, sell us our Starbucks, even trade our stocks for us. We put 250,000 new people on the planet (over and above the death rate) Every. Single. Day.                                  BirthRate Even if only half make it to adulthood, that’s still about 46 Million people that will need jobs in about 15 years. And then 46 million newer, new people the year after that. And the year after that.
    I’ve seen lines like this for part-time work at Chipotle’s. Seriously.

  3. Unless you are a Tiger Mom (or Dad), or can afford a good private school ($11,000/yr), your children are going to grow up — no way to say this but to say it — very dumb indeed.

The US ranks 28th in the world, just above tiny Portugal, in the education of its populace (Singapore ranks #1).

Horrid for a country that still likes to think of itself as a ‘superpower.’

I had to explain to a Millennial just yesterday why Benjamin Franklin was a Big Deal.

In sum: You are raising children

  • who will live in air-conditioning maybe 8 hours a day, before the power grids have their mandatory daily brownouts;

  • who will probably work part-time at a poorly-paid franchise operation, and

  • who will be unfamiliar with basic history, geography, or mathematics.

Further, engrossing, accurate reading: 

A Special Moment in History (Bill McKibben)


The Engine’s Running and the Garage Door is Locked

Again, I think this dialogue speaks for itself, so I’ll let it do so. I’ve included screen-shots for those of you with shorter attention spans. (The Newsroom, Season 3 Episode 3, ‘Main Justice,’)

WILL McAVOY: Mr. Westbrook, you’ve spent most of your professional career as a climate scientist in the public sector.

RICHARD WESTBROOK: Yes, 10 years as a supervisory management analyst in the Office of Environmental Information. And before that, I was a program specialist in the EPA’s Resource Management Division.

McAVOY: And you have a PhD in climate science from Stanford.

WESTBROOK: Yes, and another in chemistry with a masters in biology.

McAVOY: Okay. Tell us about the findings in the report that was just released.


WESTBROOK: The latest measurements taken at Mauna Loa in Hawaii indicate a CO2 level of 400 parts per million.

McAVOY: Just so we know what we’re talking about, if you were a doctor and we were the patient, what’s your prognosis? 1000 years? 2000 years?

WESTBROOK: A person has already been born who will die due to catastrophic failure of the planet.


McAVOY: (Stunned pause) Okay, can you expand on that?

WESTBROOK: Sure. The last time there was this much CO2 in the air, the oceans were 80 feet higher than they are now. Two things you should know: 1) Half the world’s population lives within 120 miles of an ocean.Newsroom-Fact3

McAVOY: And the other?

WESTBROOK: 2) Humans can’t breathe under water.

McAVOY: You’re saying the situation’s dire?

WESTBROOK: Not exactly. Your house is burning to the ground, the situation’s dire. Your house has already burned to the ground, the situation’s over.


McAVOY: So what can we do to reverse this?

WESTBROOK: There’s a lot we could do …

McAVOY: Good.

WESTBROOK:  … if it were 20 years ago, or even 10 years ago. But now, No.

McAVOY: Can you make an analogy that might help us understand?

WESTBROOK: Sure. It’s as if you’re sitting in your car in your garage with the engine running and the door closed and you’ve slipped into unconsciousness. And that’s it.

CO2 Suicide

McAVOY: What if someone comes and opens the door?

WESTBROOK: You’re already dead.

McAVOY: What if the person got there in time?

WESTBROOK: You’d be saved.

McAVOY: Okay. So now what’s the CO2 equivalent of the getting there on time?

WESTBROOK: Shutting off the car 20 years ago.

McAVOY: You sound like you’re saying it’s hopeless.


McAVOY: Is that the administration’s position or yours?

WESTBROOK: There isn’t a position on this any more than there’s a position on the temperature at which water boils.


McAVOY: The administration…clean coal, nuclear power, raising fuel economy standards and building a more efficient electrical grid.


McAVOY: And?

WESTBROOK: That would have been great!

McAVOY: Let’s see if we can’t find a better spin. People are starting their weekends. The report says we can release 565 more gigatons without the effects being calamitous.

WESTBROOK: It says we can only release 565 gigatons.

McAVOY: So, what if we only release 564?


WESTBROOK: Well, then we would have a reasonable shot at some form of dystopian, post-apocalyptic life. But the carbon dioxide in the oil that we’ve already leased is 2,795 gigatons. So…

McAVOY: What would all this look like?

WESTBROOK: Well, mass migrations, food and water shortages, spread of deadly disease, endless wildfires. Way too many to keep under control. Storms that have the power to level cities, blacken out the sky, and create permanent darkness.


McAVOY: Are you gonna get in trouble for saying this publicly?

WESTBROOK: Who cares?

McAVOY: Mr. Westbrook, we want to inform people, but we don’t want to alarm them. Can you give us a reason to be optimistic?

WESTBROOK: Well, that’s the thing, Will. Americans are optimistic by nature. And if we face this problem head on, if we listen to our best scientists, and act decisively and passionately, I still don’t see any way we can survive.

McAVOY: (Rushing to get off the air) Okay, Richard Westbrook, Deputy Assistant Administrator of the EPA. Thank you for joining us.

WESTBROOK: Thanks for having me.

McAVOY: This is News Night. We’ll be back right after this.

America by The Numbers

The first step in solving a problem is recognizing that the problem exists.

Brilliant, elegiac dialogue by Aaron Sorkin on what we once were, and what we have lost:

“Just in case you accidentally wander into a voting booth one day, there are some things you should know, and one of them is: There is absolutely no evidence to support the statement that we’re the greatest country in the world.


  • 7th in literacy;
  • 27th in math;
  • 22nd in science;
  • 49th in life expectancy;
  • 178th in infant mortality;
  • 3rd in median household income;
  • Number 4 in labor force, and
  • Number 4 in exports.

“We lead the world in only three categories:

  1. Number of incarcerated citizens per capita;
  2. Number of adults who believe angels are real, and
  3. Defense spending, where we spend more than the next 26 countries combined, 25 of whom are allies.

“None of this is the fault of a 20-year-old college student, but you, nonetheless, are without a doubt a member of the WORST-period-GENERATION-period-EVER-period,

“So when you ask what makes us the greatest country in the world, I don’t know what the fuck you’re talking about! Yosemite?”

In closing, here are 12 Categories (10 of which I would classify as vital: you can guess which those are) in which other countries leave us in the dust. If you click on the image, you can see it in higher resolution.

It’s instructive to note which countries just beat us out in a certain category — for instance, our insanely expensive healthcare system is bested by Costa Rica’s, a fact that should give one pause:


Simple Math: Oregon Shooting : 294 Mass Shootings in 274 Days

Here’s a very tired, very frustrated Obama breaking down the steps in a Typical American Mass Shooting.

“We spend over a trillion dollars and pass countless laws and devote entire agencies to preventing terrorist attacks on our soil, and rightfully so. And yet we have a Congress that explicitly blocks us from even collecting data on how we could potentially reduce gun deaths.

“When Americans are killed in mine disasters, we work to make mines safer. When Americans are killed in floods and hurricanes, we make communities safer. When roads are unsafe, we fix them to reduce auto fatalities.

” So the notion that gun violence is somehow different, that our freedom and our Constitution prohibits any modest regulation of how we use a deadly weapon,… doesn’t make sense.”

It’s a lot like Kübler-Ross’ Five Stages of Grief, except we never get beyond step 1: Denial. These things happen to someone else. There are too many guns, there’s nothing to be done about it.

Playing with your guns all day
If only they could see you now
How you’ve learned to shoot so well
They wouldn’t laugh that way.   —  “Lullaby For Wayne”

Except that’s not remotely true. Here’s Will Oremus, writing for Slate:

After a 1996 Mass Shooting, Australia Enacted Strict Gun Laws. It Hasn’t Had a Similar Massacre Since.

“On April 28, 1996, a gunman opened fire on tourists in a seaside resort in Port Arthur, Tasmania. By the time he was finished, he had killed 35 people and wounded 23 more. It was the worst mass murder in Australia’s history.


“Twelve days later, Australia’s government did something remarkable … it announced a bipartisan deal with state and local governments to enact sweeping gun-control measures. A decade and a half hence, the results of these policy changes are clear: They worked really, really well.

“At the heart of the push was a massive buyback of more than 600,000 semi-automatic shotguns and rifles, or about one-fifth of all firearms in circulation in Australia. The country’s new gun laws prohibited private sales, required that all weapons be individually registered to their owners, and required that gun buyers present a “genuine reason” for needing each weapon at the time of the purchase. (Self-defense did not count.) In the wake of the tragedy, polls showed public support for these measures at upwards of 90 percent.” (Full article here)

So that’s all there is to it.

  • Buy back the guns from those who will sell — probably at an obscene markup to encourage trade-ins;

  • Prohibit private sales;

  • Restrict commercial sales to hunters and sport shooters (e.g.: If you say you plan to hunt rabbits, your license doesn’t allow you to buy a high-powered rifle).

If Australia can do it, so can we. Let Australian Jim Jeffries entertain and enlighten you on the subject:

Wednesday PSA: A Picture and Two Quotes


“Probably the only place where a man can feel really secure is in a maximum security prison, except for the imminent threat of release. The problem of recidivism ought to have shown young men like John Greenaway1 just what sort of a notion security is, but there is no indication that he would understand it.

Security is when everything is settled, when nothing can happen to you; security is the denial of life. Human beings are better equipped to cope with disaster and hardship than they are with unvarying security, but as long as security is the highest value in a community they can have little opportunity to decide this for themselves.”
Germaine GreerThe Female Eunuch

1. [School of Economic and Social Studies, University of East Anglia, UK; author of Drink and British Politics Since 1830: A Study in Policy-making]

RePet 2015

Do you remember “The 6th Day,” the clone-themed Schwarzenegger movie? There was a business called RePet which would clone the family cat or dog so your children would never have to deal with its loss:

Well, it’s 15 years later, and RePet has become a reality (minus the Syncording) — if you have $100,000:

One could argue that $100K could be much better spent on something else, and that there are hundreds of thousands of shelter dogs in need of good homes, but as Bullet-tooth Tony once observed: